If we want to take a step back from very distressing events, the war in Ukraine is not a Russian initiative, even if Russia took the initiative in the fighting by bypassing the Ukrainian forces which were preparing to attack the Crimea and the Donbass. It was planned from 2019 as evidenced by the plan of the Rand Corporation presented to the House of Representatives on September 5, 2019.

The strategic plan of the United States against Russia was drawn up three years ago by the Rand Corporation   . The Rand Corporation whose headquarters are in Washington, is «a global research organization that develops solutions for political challenges»: it has an army of 1,800 researchers and other specialists recruited from 50 countries, who speak 75 languages, distributed in offices and other headquarters in North America, Europe, Australia and the Persian Gulf. US Rand personnel live and work in more than 25 countries. The Rand Corporation, which describes itself as a «non-profit, non-partisan organization», is officially funded by the Pentagon, the US Army and Air Force, the National Security Agencies (CIA and others ), by agencies in other countries and powerful non-governmental organizations.

The Rand Corp. boasts of having helped develop the strategy that allowed the United States to emerge victorious from the Cold War, forcing the Soviet Union to consume its own resources in the grueling military confrontation. From this model was inspired the new plan drawn up in 2019: “  Overextending and Unbalancing Russia  ” , that is: forcing the adversary to extend excessively to destabilize and bring him down. These are the main lines of attack traced in the Rand plan, on which the United States has actually advanced in recent years.

Above all, the plan stipulates, Russia must be attacked on its most vulnerable flank, that of its economy, which is highly dependent on the export of gas and oil: to this end, trade and financial sanctions will be used and, at the same time, make sure that Europe reduces the import of Russian gas, replacing it with liquefied natural gas from the United States. 

In the ideological and informational sphere, it is necessary to encourage internal protests and at the same time undermine Russia’s image abroad. In the military field, it is necessary to operate so that the European countries of NATO increase their forces in an anti-Russian function. 

The USA can have high probabilities of success and strong benefits, with moderate risks, by investing mainly in strategic bombers and long-range attack missiles directed against Russia. Deploying new intermediate-range nuclear missiles aimed at Russia in Europe gives them a high probability of success, but also entails great risks. By calibrating each option to obtain the desired effect —concludes the Rand—Russia will end up paying the highest price in the confrontation with the USA, but the latter and their allies will have to invest large resources by subtracting them from other goals.

Under this strategy—the Rand Corporation’s 2019 plan envisioned—«delivering lethal aid to Ukraine would exploit Russia’s greatest external vulnerability, but any increase in arms and military advice provided by the USA to Ukraine should be carefully calibrated in order to provoke the costs for Russia without provoking a much larger conflict in which Russia, because of the proximity, would have significant advantages”. It is right there—in what the Rand Corporation called «Russia’s greatest external vulnerability point» that can be exploited by arming Ukraine in a way «calibrated to increase costs to Russia without provoking much greater conflict ample”—what happened to the rupture. 

Caught in the political vice, economic and military policy that the USA and NATO were tightening more and more, ignoring repeated warnings and proposals for negotiations from Moscow, Russia reacted with the military operation which destroyed in Ukraine more than 2,000 military structures realized and controlled in reality not by the rulers of kyiv but by the commands of the USA and NATO. 

The article that reported the Rand Corporation plan three years ago ended with these words: «in terms of sacrifices and risks is paid for by all of us”. 

We are paying it now, we the European peoples, and we will pay more and more, if we continue to be sacrificed pawns in the USA-NATO strategy.

Source: Manlio Dinucci, Il Manifesto

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